Search The Web

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Two thoughtful and insightful analyses of the 2016 Presidential Election

THE FIRST, from George Friedman, formerly of STRATFOR, is entitled, President Elect Donald Trump.

An excerpt:

When Clinton made her extraordinary speech about Trump’s basket of “deplorables,” she was expressing the chasm of contempt that had opened up within the Democratic Party between the educated and the working class. She said there were two baskets. In one was the homophobic, xenophobic misogynists. In the other basket were the poor who had been left behind. It was not clear that this second basket was deplorable, but those in it were certainly not her major concern. Clinton made the “deplorables” statement to make it clear that not only was Trump unacceptable, but his followers were too. Clearly, she didn’t think she needed their votes. But she did need to reinforce her base’s sense of fighting the good fight against evil and failure..
 Clinton’s statement about Trump’s followers struck me at the time, and still does, as amazing. She was then a few points ahead of Trump, which meant that nearly half of the country supported him. By implication, she was saying that half the country is deplorable. Her statement was not only contemptuous, but showed her to be a terrible politician. To win the election, she needed to hold all of her supporters, plus take away some of Trump’s. The deplorable statement drove many off instead.
It was not only bad politics. It also represents a core internal problem. The elite of the United States – and all countries have and need elites – has become profoundly self-enclosed. This is similar to the situation in the U.K. when the elite was enraged at the Brexit referendum result, and hurled epithets at the narrow majority that voted for Brexit, calling them uneducated, incapable of understanding the issues and so on.
THE SECOND is David Bahnsen's post, Wow. Just Wow. The Day After, What it All Means, and Where We Go from Here

An excerpt:

With all due respect to my friends on the left, the episodic cases of derangement they have waged against perfectly reasonable and credible GOP conservative leaders over the years are a huge reason why Trump won.  You cannot call every single person you disagree with on perfectly reasonable issues a racist, sexist, and homophobe, and them expect people to take you seriously when a real demagogue enters the fray.  The left’s hysteria and lack of charity with those they disagree with for years has led to a credibility deficit.  I find Trump’s behavior towards women and comments about Hispanics revolting, but when I see the left say to choose love not hate (in opposing Trump), I think they fail to see how utterly hateful they have been towards God-fearing non-hateful sincere Americans for years.  I don’t agree with the punishment, but the reality is that too many middle Americans were tired of being insulted so unfairly, and took it out on the other side by voting Trump.  Legitimate disagreements need to be allowed without such hateful rhetoric from the left.  Trump should not be absolved of his rhetoric, and I have no intention of letting him off the hook into his Presidency either, but leftist derangement gave us Trump.  The boy (and girl) cried wolf too many times...
The masterpiece book, Coming Apart, by Charles Murray, described a sociological phenomena that came to fruition in the electoral realm last night.  These are the areas in which all of my attentions are focused – how the policy prescriptions and ideas we believe in as conservatives can be applied to the segments of society most suffering, so as to create a free and virtuous society.  I fear Trump has bitten off more than he or anyone can chew, because he has falsely claimed that white working America is suffering because of bad trade deals, as opposed to real cultural milieu.  Truth be told, the right needs to listen to the plight of working America and offer solutions; and those solutions can not be nationalistic promises of protectionist nonsense.  There is a lot more to say here...
This brings me to my final point.  There are three major divisions now going on in our country that are the defining situations of this age.  First and foremost, rural America vs. urban America, or that sociological/cultural divide described in point seven.  Secondly, the civil war in the left, which my liberal friends do not yet know how massive it is about to become.  That radical progressive wing of Warren and Sanders is going to go to war with center-left moderates, and it is going to be nasty.  And then the one which I believe will dictate so much of the future of American political life: The civil war in the right – the battle between populist-nationalists and idea-driven conservatives.  I am well aware of the fact that Trump’s win grants appearance that the former is winning over the latter.  I am not so sure.  The “across country” wave of ideological conservatives who won by much larger margins tells a different story.  I am convinced of this: The winner of this battle will determine the fate of conservatism in this generation.  The latter must, must, must defeat the former.

No comments:

Post a Comment