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Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Is it futile to hope Jim Webb's a real contender against Ms. Clinton ?

Robert Tracinski, in his FEDERALIST piece, calls Webb "The Democrat Who Could Win, But Won’t". I respectfully disagree, at least to the extent of saying it's too darned early to rule the man out. Clearly, Webb, whose resume items include United States Senator from Virginia, Secretary of the Navy, Assistant Secretary of Defense, congressional staffer, and Marine Corps officer, would have the political right and center to himself in any contest with Hillary. And if the Democratic primaries took place while foreign policy crises erupted, say, in Libya or the Ukraine, Webb might re-energize Reagan Democrats and others tired of the Clintons. Meantime, it seems he has his work cut out for him even in his home state, where a recent poll showed Hillary a prohibitive Dem favorite.

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In any case, the WEEKLY STANDARD's Fred Barnes does well to remind us in his article, "What we don't know about 2016" is "Almost everything."
At the moment, there’s nothing going on in either party’s campaign that is predictive of what will occur when we get to the Iowa caucuses (February 1) and New Hampshire primary (February 9). This is not a historic first. Wildly off-base projections are the norm in the nomination races. Recall the situation at roughly this time in 2007. The eventual GOP nominee, John McCain, was dead in the water. Barack Obama barely registered a blip.
The lesson here has largely gone unlearned. We see campaign stories about the threat Wisconsin governor Scott Walker poses to Jeb Bush in the New Hampshire primary next year, based on a fleeting poll. And considerable attention has been paid to New Jersey governor Chris Christie’s “comeback.” What comeback? He hasn’t even announced he’s running, much less competed with his rivals in a televised debate. The first debate isn’t until August 15.

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